what-if-oracle
Supports structured what-if scenario analysis for research planning
by k-dense-aiFree
Description
what-if-oracle is an agent skill for structured what-if scenario analysis in research planning. It explores a bounded set of possible futures before you commit research resources, such as what happens if sample attrition is higher than planned, if a method does not transfer to a new instrument, cohort or site, if a key reagent or dataset becomes unavailable, or which option stays feasible under competing hypotheses or limited resources. The output is a scenario comparison, an evidence ledger and a contingency plan. The skill says that the analysis does not cover the full range of possibilities, and that a narrated mechanism is not shown to happen. It uses six branch prompts and a 0-IF-1 mnemonic from an upstream framework, which it treats as a framing aid rather than a scientific law or a computational model. The author's related preprints are catalogued as preprints, which establish provenance, not forecasting accuracy. The skill is for decisions tied to a scientific question. It is not a general business or personal advice tool.…
Highlights
- Bounded what-if scenario comparison
- Evidence ledger
- Contingency plans
- Six branch prompts
- Tied to a scientific decision
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what-if-oracle FAQ
What does it produce?
A scenario comparison, an evidence ledger and a contingency plan for a research decision.
Does it cover every possible future?
No. The skill says it explores a bounded set and does not establish that a narrated mechanism will occur.
Can it estimate an intervention effect?
No. The skill says such questions need the right design or model, and it does not manufacture those results from scenario prose.
What is the 0-IF-1 framing?
A framing aid from an upstream framework, covering a potential change, a stated condition and a resulting scenario. It is not a scientific law.
How do I install it?
Run npx skills add https://github.com/k-dense-ai/scientific-agent-skills --skill what-if-oracle.
Is it checked for security?
Its security audits show passes from Gen Agent Trust Hub, Socket and Snyk.
What are the best what-if-oracle alternatives?
Popular alternatives to what-if-oracle include consciousness-council, council and council-multi-model. See all what-if-oracle alternatives